It has seemed fairly obvious that China has seen fit to under-report the actual numbers of people who died in Wuhan province. I fear there are some indications they have not “slightly” under-reported the numbers who have died, but have “grossly” under-reported the failure of their health care system. The actual number of deaths may be in the millions.

I’m not sure why they chose to repress news of the extent of the tragedy, but the American news media chooses to repeat their disinformation, rather than questioning it. I’ve heard various theories as to why this is so. I’ve heard the Chinese don’t want to “lose face”, and that the American media stands to lose financial support if they question China. I have no idea if such speculation is true, and can only share my reasons for skepticism.

First, even when the factories in Wuhan were being closed down there were localized spikes in “carbon emissions”, as seen by satellites. It is suggested this indicates cremations were occurring at full blast. Far more burning was occurring than would occur if only a few thousand died.

Second, people who are dead do not renew their cell phone accounts. The number of people who failed to renew their cell phone accounts in Wuhan did not number a few thousand, but rather numbered up near 20 million.

Third, the initial expectation of what percentage of people who contracted the virus would die was around 3%. Such numbers are not plucked from a hat.

Fourth, the doctors in Wuhan who initially dealt with the virus were extremely alarmed. Their initial comments are preserved, though they were later publicly shamed, jailed, and forced to “confess” that they were “exaggerating” the dangers. Several of these doctors later died of the virus.

Fifth, the responses of President Trump make no sense if you accept the version of what happened in Wuhan now being broadcast by the Chinese media (and parroted by American sycophants). Assuming he gets information from other sources, the death toll being far higher than reported explains why he acted as he acted.

In other words, the news we are getting from Wuhan is “Fake News”. China does not want to admit they badly bungled the initial outbreak of the virus, and that a pandemic was raging before they knew it, and, (like a fire which is far harder to put out if allowed to spread), their healthcare system was unable to handle what it was faced with. Compared to the responses in places like South Korea and Taiwan, they look downright pathetic. I can only suppose their leaders now want to hide their inefficiency, fearing a public outcry, and perhaps even demands they be replaced.

The one good thing about the “Fake News” is that it made people less inclined to panic. Can you imagine how people might have behaved if they knew 20 million died in Wuhan? So many elite would have fled to Nantucket that the island would sink! (As it is, the little airport that flies people out to Nantucket has a parking lot crowded with cars that have New York plates.)

In the end the truth will leak out. China may seek to close the Wuhan internet, or heavily censor all postings, but cell phones will make their way to Hong Kong, and we will see videos from Wuhan, and I fear they will not be pretty.


  1. We now have good data from South Korea. As of yesterday, they had tested 357896 and had found 9137 cases. That is a 2.6% infection rate after extreme social distancing but not complete lockdown.
    As of yesterday, 3730 had fully recovered and 126 had died. That is a CFR of 3.4%, which directionally supports your premise.

    Wuhan has 11 million, Hubei province (wuhan is thenlargest ciry in Hubei) 58.5 million. The CFR would have been higher than 3.4% because overwhelmed. But even at the too low korean rate, wuhan would have had at least 374k deaths and Hubei 1.99 million. China IS hiding the thruth as Pompeo has said, and the President IS acting on additional information.

    Of the Korean active unresolved cases, 11% were serious (supplemental oxygen) or critical (ventilator). We can now estimate that 1/3 of the S/C cohort will die even tho the korean medical system was not overwhelmed like northern Italy. That estimate will apply to NYC.

    Finally, thanks to contact tracing and testing, the korean daily new cases is very low, so this method does work to really bend the curve if it can be scaled to the US. And that explains the testing emphasis by the President and his hope for Easter.

  2. More peopke probably died than they let on, but the sheer number of phone accounts not renewed along with the lack of groundswell info leakage, tells me the gov. Forcibly confiscated the phones to stop the world seeing or hearing what draconian, military style actions took place.
    This meant the world was far slower closing movement down.

    • Interesting idea. I didn’t think about the confiscation of phones.

      It has also occurred to me it could have been something as simple as no one being able to pay their phone bills.

      The sad thing is the Chinese government’s dislike of Truth: Clear, simple and blunt. If they could be forthright we wouldn’t have to do all our guess-work. However they seem to be captivated by the erroneous concept which states, “if you control people’s perceptions, then you control Truth”.

      Big mistake. Truth is not some dumb beast, some big bull which can be controlled by a ring put through It’s nose. Rather Truth is almighty, the fabric and foundation of all life, Truth is the earth that we walk and the air that we breathe, We do not create Truth; Truth creates us. And therefore those who think they can twist and torment Truth and make it their beast-of-burden are colossal fools. They may have gifts, but, if they fail to recognize and respect the gift-giver, they are like an ax which thinks it has power all by itself. Then that ax discovers it can be laid aside by the “ax-wielder”, and has no power at all.

      If you stand by Truth, Truth stands by you. Otherwise, “What a tangled web we weave when we practice to deceive.”

      The corona virus apparently has an odd genetic structure. I’ve read it includes a strand or sequence from the HIV virus, and therefore the corona virus is highly unlikely to be a natural mutation, and very well could be man-made. When it initially appeared there were suggestions it escaped from a Chinese genetics lab in Wuhan, Some suggested its escape may even been via laboratory animal which, rather than being properly disposed of, was sold at a meat-market only a few miles from the lab (likely by an under-paid lab technician). But China has worked very hard to repress any and all investigative reporting in this direction. Rather than Truth, they seemingly prefer a cover-up.

      The thing of it is, when you have a Truth to hide, you are like a man susceptible to blackmail. You may think you are the boss, throwing some reporters out of the country while paying others to report the news you want reported, but still you are paying a invisible blackmailer, to hide the Truth. The invisible blackmailer is actually in control, and you are but it’s pawn.

      Truth is free. Some may want to stone you for speaking it, but Truth itself charges nothing, is all around, and is the fount of life itself. Therefore, if I am to be a pawn, I’ll be a pawn of Truth, and of no invisible blackmailer.

      • Now that is the truth.
        So is it also true, the most wealthy and affluent societies value the living/ life the most and seek to preserve it, almost at all cost.
        Poorer societies understand death and that cutting off one’s own nose despite their face, is not only way forward. Can the cure be worse than the disease?
        Eg energy vs CO2……shutdown v wuhan.

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